Oracle Corp.
[ORCL]
NYSE
MVPro™ Score: 48/100
Last Earnings: 08 Sep 2025
[ORCL]
NYSE
MVPro™ Score: 48/100
Last Earnings: 08 Sep 2025
| Capitalization (mln USD) | 603,666 |
| Revenue (mln USD) | 15,903 |
| EBITDA (mln USD) | 6,805 |
| Net Income (mln USD) | 3,427 |
| Net Margin | 21.55% |
| EPS Ratio (TTM, USD) | 4.34 |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 48.51 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 8.25 |
| D/E Ratio | 7.03 |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 25.56 |
| CAPEX (Q/Q) | 54.90% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.82% |
Revenue, EBITDA & Net Income
Company Overview
Oracle Corporation is a global technology company founded in 1977 by Larry Ellison, Bob Miner, and Ed Oates. Based in Austin, Texas, Oracle has grown from a database software pioneer into a leading provider of cloud computing and enterprise software. The company focuses on developing, marketing, and supporting database systems, cloud infrastructure, ERP software, and analytics platforms.
Oracle’s flagship products include Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), Oracle Autonomous Database, and a suite of SaaS applications for finance, HR, and customer experience. The company operates in more than 175 countries and serves clients across a wide range of sectors including finance, healthcare, retail, and the public sector. It is currently led by CEO Safra Catz, who has been instrumental in driving its strategic shift towards cloud services.
Oracle’s mission is to help people see data in new ways, discover insights, and unlock endless possibilities. The company has expressed a growing commitment to ESG principles, focusing on energy-efficient data centres, diversity in the workplace, and responsible data governance. With significant investment in AI integration and automation across its platforms, Oracle continues to expand its global presence and technological influence while aligning its operations with sustainability and ethical business practices.
🔴 P/E (Price to Earnings, TTM)
Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the most recent quarter is 38.0, compared to 39.0 in the previous quarter, with a longer-term trend value of 42.4. This decline in the P/E ratio may indicate a shift in market sentiment, where investors are placing a lower premium on future earnings growth. A falling P/E ratio could be driven by slowing revenue growth, increased risk perception, or improved earnings performance that is outpacing stock price growth.
P/E Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (TTM)
P/E Ratio
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🟢 EPS (Earnings Per Share, TTM)
Oracle's earnings per share (EPS) for the most recent quarter is 4.34 USD (+2.6%), compared to 4.23 USD in the previous quarter, with a longer-term trend value of 4.42 USD. This quarterly increase in EPS suggests improved profitability and operational efficiency.
EPS
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (TTM, USD)
EPS
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🔴 P/B (Price to Book)
Price-to-book (P/B) ratio for the most recent quarter stands at 22.58 (-17.9%), compared to 27.49 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of -17.54. This decline in the P/B ratio may indicate a more conservative market stance on the company’s asset valuation, potentially influenced by shifting investor sentiment, changes in financial fundamentals, or broader economic conditions.
P/B Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
P/B Ratio
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🟢 EBIT
EBIT for Oracle in the most recent quarter is 5,109 million USD, compared to 4,358 million USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 3,813 million USD. This increase reflects improved operational performance and higher profitability, aligning with the long-term growth trajectory.
EBIT
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
EBIT
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🟡 Risk Assessment
Below is a risk assessment for Oracle Corporation, outlining key risk factors that could impact the company’s financial and operational performance.
Market Risk
Oracle operates in a highly competitive global technology sector, facing pressure from established players such as Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, and Google Cloud. Market demand is rapidly shifting towards cloud-native and AI-driven solutions, which may affect Oracle’s traditional software offerings. Currency fluctuations and changing economic conditions across regions can also impact international revenue streams.
Financial Risk
While Oracle maintains strong cash flow and profitability, it carries a significant level of long-term debt following major acquisitions, which may limit financial flexibility. Any downturn in enterprise IT spending could affect licensing and subscription revenues. In addition, volatility in equity markets may influence the company’s investment strategies and shareholder returns.
Operational Risk
The company relies heavily on complex global infrastructure, including data centres and cloud platforms, which are vulnerable to outages and cyberattacks. Oracle’s continued success depends on its ability to innovate and attract top technology talent in a competitive labour market. Integration of acquired companies also presents ongoing operational challenges and potential disruptions.
Regulatory Risk
Oracle is subject to strict data protection, cybersecurity, and competition laws across multiple jurisdictions. Changes in global tax regulations, such as digital services taxes, may impact profitability. Any failure to comply with legal obligations could result in fines, reputational damage, or operational restrictions.
Overall Risk Assessment
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🟡 Piotroski F-Score Analysis
Piotroski F-Score analysis is a robust methodology designed to assess the financial strength and operational efficiency of companies, providing valuable insights for investment decision-making.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
| Previous TTM | Current TTM | Score | |
| Net Income | 10,467 | 12,443 | 1 |
| ROA | 7.63% | 8.00% | 1 |
| Net Operating Cash Flow | 759 | 208 | 1 |
| OCF > Net Income | 8,206 | 8,378 | 1 |
| Long-Term Debt | 325,644 | 329,182 | 0 |
| Current Ratio | 0.72 | 0.75 | 1 |
| New Shares Issued (mln) | 2,823 | 2,866 | 0 |
| Gross Margin | 71.41% | 70.51% | 0 |
| Total Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0 |
| Piotroski F-Score | 5/9 |
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🟡 Altman Z-Score Analysis
Altman Z-Score is a widely recognised financial metric used to evaluate the risk of bankruptcy for companies. It is particularly relevant for assessing the creditworthiness of manufacturing and industrial companies but has also been adapted for other industries.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
| Q2 25 | |||
| Altman Z-Score (TTM) | 1.85 | ||
| 0 | Distress | 1.8 | Grey | 2.99 | Safe | 4 |
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
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🟡 Key Assets Components
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
As of last quarter the company reported total assets of 168,361 million USD, representing an increase of 19.4% compared to the previous year the same quarter 140,976 million USD. The largest contributor to this change in current assets was Receivables, which grew by 8.7% to 8,558 million USD from 7,874 million USD.
Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q2 24 | Q2 25 | Change (%) | |
| Cash & Short-Term Inv | 10,661 | 11,203 | 5.08% |
| Inventory | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Receivables | 7,874 | 8,558 | 8.69% |
| Total Current Assets | 22,554 | 24,579 | 8.98% |
| Property and Equipment | 21,536 | 43,522 | 102.09% |
| Goodwill, Intangibles | 69,120 | 66,794 | -3.37% |
| Other Long-Term Assets | 15,493 | 21,589 | 39.35% |
| Total Assets | 140,976 | 168,361 | 19.43% |
Assets
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🔴 Key Liabilities & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Total current liabilities increased by 3.5%, indicating a potential growth in operational activities. This change may affect the company's ability to manage its working capital efficiently. Long-term debt increased by 11.8%, suggesting a rise in long-term obligations. This shift could have implications for the Oracle's financing costs and overall debt strategy.
Liabilities & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q2 24 | Q2 25 | Change (%) | |
| Accounts Payable | 2,357 | 5,113 | 116.93% |
| Accrued Expenses, Other | 0 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Total Current Liabilities | 31,544 | 32,643 | 3.48% |
| Long-term Lease | 6,255 | 11,536 | 84.43% |
| Long-term Debt | 76,264 | 85,297 | 11.84% |
| Total Liabilities | 131,737 | 147,392 | 11.88% |
| Shareholders’ Equity | 9,239 | 20,969 | 126.96% |
Liabilities & Equity
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🔴 Income Statement Analysis
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
As of Q2 25, Oracle reported a revenue of 15,903 million USD, marking an increase of 11.3% compared to the previous year to 14,287 million USD. Operating expenses rose to 6,053 million USD, increasing by 11.9% year-on-year from 5,410 million USD.
Revenue & Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q2 24 | Q2 25 | Change (%) | |
| Revenue | 14,287 | 15,903 | 11.31% |
| Operating Expenses | 5,410 | 6,053 | 11.89% |
| Operating Income | 4,685 | 5,109 | 9.05% |
| Net Income | 3,143 | 3,427 | 9.04% |
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Revenue & Net Income
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🟡 Cash Flow Analysis
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
The company’s cash flow performance over the year demonstrates varied trends across key categories. Net operating cash flows increased by 1.2% from 6,081 million USD to 6,157 million USD, reflecting stronger cash generation from core business activities. Net investing cash flows decreased by 232.0% from -2,766 million USD to -9,182 million USD, indicating higher expenditure on investments, potentially related to strategic initiatives.
Operating Cash Flow
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q2 24 | Q2 25 | Change (%) | |
| Net Operating Cash Flows | 6,081 | 6,157 | 1.25% |
| Net Investing Cash Flows | -2,766 | -9,182 | -231.96% |
| Net Financing Cash Flows | -2,274 | -3,814 | -67.72% |
| Net Cash Flow, Equivalents | 1,041 | -6,839 | -756.96% |
Operating Cash Flow
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🟢 EBITDA
Oracle's EBITDA for the most recent quarter is 6,805 milion USD (+15.2%), compared to 5,909 milion USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 5,545 milion USD. This increase in EBITDA suggests improved operational efficiency and revenue growth, indicating stronger core business performance.
EBITDA
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
EBITDA
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🟢 Net Income
Net income for the most recent quarter is 3,427 milion USD (+16.7%), compared to 2,936 milion USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 2,361 milion USD. This increase in net income reflects improved profitability, potentially driven by higher revenue growth, enhanced cost efficiency, or favorable market conditions.
Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Net Income
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🟡 ROE (Return on Equity, %) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Oracle's return on equity (ROE) for the most recent quarter is 59.3%, compared to 70.4% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of -41.5%. This decline in ROE may indicate reduced profitability, increased equity base, or other financial challenges affecting the company's return on investment.
ROE Indicator
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
ROE Indicator
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🟡 ROA (Return on Assets, %)
Return on assets (ROA) for the most recent quarter is 7.4%, compared to 7.5% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 7.2%. This decline in ROA may indicate lower profitability, increased asset base, or operational inefficiencies affecting the company's ability to generate returns.
ROA Indicator
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
ROA Indicator
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🟢 Operating Margin (%) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Oracle's operating margin for the most recent quarter is 32.1%, compared to 30.8% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 26.3%. This increase in operating margin reflects improved cost efficiency, higher revenue retention, or a stronger pricing strategy. The rise suggests that Oracle is effectively managing its operational expenses while maintaining revenue growth.
Operating Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Operating Margin
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🟢 Net Margin (%) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Net margin for the most recent quarter is 21.5%, compared to 20.8% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 16.3%. This increase in net margin suggests improved profitability, reflecting stronger cost control, enhanced operational efficiency, or higher revenue retention. The company appears to be effectively managing expenses while maintaining revenue growth, contributing to improved bottom-line performance.
Net Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Net Margin
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🔴 Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
The current long-term debt is 85,297 million USD, and EBITDA is 6,805 million USD. The long-term debt to EBITDA ratio for the most recent quarter is 1253.4%, compared to 1491.1% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 1547.7%. This decline in the long-term debt to EBITDA ratio suggests an improvement in the company's ability to manage and service its long-term debt obligations. The lower ratio indicates stronger financial flexibility, potentially driven by higher earnings generation or reduced leverage.
Long-Term Debt to EBITDA Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Despite the decrease, the ratio remains above 400%, which may still indicate financial concerns that require careful monitoring. A declining trend in this ratio is typically a positive sign for investors, as it implies reduced financial risk and an improved capacity to meet long-term liabilities.
Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to EBITDA Ratio
Despite the decrease, the ratio remains above 400%, which may still indicate financial concerns that require careful monitoring. A declining trend in this ratio is typically a positive sign for investors, as it implies reduced financial risk and an improved capacity to meet long-term liabilities.
Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
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🟡 Long-Term Debt & Assets
The current long-term debt is 85,297 million USD, and total assets are 168,361 million USD, resulting in a debt ratio of 50.7%. This decline in the long-term debt-to-assets ratio indicates an improvement in financial stability, as the company is reducing its reliance on long-term debt relative to its total assets. This suggests either an increase in total assets or a reduction in outstanding long-term liabilities.
Long-Term Debt to Assets Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Although the ratio has decreased, it is still within the monitoring range 40%–60%, suggesting that debt levels should continue to be observed. A declining debt-to-assets ratio is generally seen as a positive signal for investors, as it implies lower financial risk and greater balance sheet resilience.
Long-Term Debt & Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to Assets Ratio
Although the ratio has decreased, it is still within the monitoring range 40%–60%, suggesting that debt levels should continue to be observed. A declining debt-to-assets ratio is generally seen as a positive signal for investors, as it implies lower financial risk and greater balance sheet resilience.
Long-Term Debt & Assets
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🔴 Long-Term Debt & Equity ★ Buffett's Key Metric
The current long-term debt is 85,297 million USD, while Total Equity stands at 20,969 million USD, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 406.8%. This decline in the long-term debt-to-equity ratio suggests improved financial strength, as the company is reducing its reliance on debt financing relative to its equity base. This may be the result of increased retained earnings, debt repayments, or higher equity financing, all of which contribute to a healthier balance sheet.
Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Although the ratio has decreased, it is still within the healthy range 50%–150%, suggesting that debt levels remain manageable and in line with industry standards. A declining debt-to-equity ratio is generally a positive signal for investors, reflecting reduced leverage and improved financial flexibility.
Long-Term Debt & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio
Although the ratio has decreased, it is still within the healthy range 50%–150%, suggesting that debt levels remain manageable and in line with industry standards. A declining debt-to-equity ratio is generally a positive signal for investors, reflecting reduced leverage and improved financial flexibility.
Long-Term Debt & Equity
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🔴 Equity to Assets
The current equity is 20,969 million USD, while total assets stand at 168,361 million USD, resulting in an equity-to-assets ratio of 12.5%. This increase in the equity-to-assets ratio indicates a strengthening financial position, as the company is relying more on its own capital rather than external debt. The rise suggests higher retained earnings, new equity issuance, or asset appreciation, all of which contribute to long-term financial stability.
Equity to Assets Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (%)
Although the ratio has increased, it is still within the monitoring range 40%–50%, suggesting that while financial leverage is moderate, continued assessment is recommended. A rising equity-to-assets ratio is generally a positive sign for investors, as it indicates lower financial risk and improved capital structure.
Equity & Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Equity to Assets Ratio
Although the ratio has increased, it is still within the monitoring range 40%–50%, suggesting that while financial leverage is moderate, continued assessment is recommended. A rising equity-to-assets ratio is generally a positive sign for investors, as it indicates lower financial risk and improved capital structure.
Equity & Assets
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🔴 Quick Ratio
The quick ratio for Oracle is 0.75, compared to 1.02 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 0.61. This decline in the quick ratio may indicate lower liquidity, reduced cash reserves, or an increase in short-term liabilities. The ratio has now fallen below 0.8, signalling potential liquidity concerns that may require adjustments in working capital management or access to additional short-term funding.
Quick Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
Quick Ratio
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🔴 Current Ratio
The current ratio for Oracle is 0.75, compared to 1.02 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 0.61. This decline in the current ratio may indicate a higher reliance on short-term liabilities, reduced cash flow, or increased working capital constraints. The ratio has now fallen below 1.0, signaling potential liquidity concerns. This suggests that the company may face difficulties meeting short-term obligations and might require improved cash flow management or additional financing.
Current Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
Current Ratio
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🔴 Net Working Capital
The net working capital (NWC) for Oracle in the most recent quarter is -8,064 million USD, compared to 493 million USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of -2,214 million USD.
Net Working Capital
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Net Working Capital
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🟢 Inventory Turnover Ratio
The inventory turnover ratio for Oracle is not available, as the company does not report inventory in its financial statements. This may indicate that Oracle operates in a service-based or software-driven industry, where inventory is not a significant component of operations.
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
Inventory Turnover Ratio
🔴 Asset Turnover Ratio
The assets turnover ratio for Oracle in the most recent quarter is 0.34, compared to 0.35 in the previous quarter. This decline in the assets turnover ratio may suggest lower revenue generation, excess assets, or inefficiencies in assets utilization. A decreasing trend could indicate weaker sales growth or an overinvestment in fixed assets. The ratio has fallen below the 1.0, suggesting that Oracle may have a high level of assets relative to revenue generation. This could indicate underutilized resources or the need for improved asset efficiency.
Assets Turnover Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
Assets Turnover Ratio
🔴 Book Value / Share
The book value per share (BVPS) is a key valuation metric that represents the equity value per outstanding share. Calculated by dividing total book value by the number of shares, it helps assess whether a stock trades above or below its book value.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (USD)
Book Value per Share Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (USD, generated on 18 June 2025)
| Q2 24 | Q2 25 | Change (%) | |
| Book Value / Share | 3.27 | 7.32 | 123.85 % |
Book Value per Share Valuation
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🔴 Graham Method
The intrinsic value of Oracle’s stock is calculated using Benjamin Graham’s formula, which takes into account the current earnings per share (EPS) and an assumed growth rate (g), providing a simplified yet insightful perspective on a company’s value.
Benjamin Graham Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (USD, generated on 18 June 2025)
Benjamin Graham Valuation
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🔴 Discounted Cash Flow ★ Buffett's Key Metric
The discounted cash flow (DCF) method is used to estimate Oracle’s intrinsic value by projecting future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. This approach considers the company’s potential to generate cash flows in the future, taking into account the time value of money and associated risks.
The terminal value represents the value of Oracle’s cash flows beyond the five-year forecast horizon. It is calculated using the Gordon Growth Model, assuming a perpetual growth rate of 4.0% and WACC of 13.7%. The calculated terminal value is -4,978 million USD.
Total Intrinsic Value Calculations
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Assuming 2,866 million shares outstanding, the intrinsic value per share is approximately -1.43 USD. The current market price of Oracle’s stock is 210.63 USD. Discounted cash flow valuation indicates that the stock is 14874.0% overvalued, trading above its intrinsic value.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (USD, generated on 18 June 2025)
| Value | |
| Present Value of FCFs | -1,466 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | -2,620 |
| Total Intrinsic Value | -4,086 |
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
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🟡 Assets Correlation
The Pearson correlation analysis for Oracle examines the relationship between share price and key financial indicators. Gross profit has a correlation of 0.75, which indicates a strong relationship, meaning profitability is a key driver of stock price movements. Operating income is correlated at 0.26, suggesting a weak relationship with share price fluctuations.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports
Current liabilities are correlated at 0.85, implying that short-term obligations are closely monitored by investors, influencing stock valuation. Total assets have a correlation of 0.75, confirming a strong relationship between asset growth and market performance.
Key Financial Indicators Growth Dynamics
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports, Index=100 on Q4 10
| Pearson Correlation | |
| Share Price | 1 |
| Gross Profit | 0.75 |
| Operating Income | 0.26 |
| Current Liabilities | 0.85 |
| Total Assets | 0.75 |
Key Financial Indicators Growth Dynamics
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🟡 FCF Margin Scenarios
• Optimistic Scenario: -1%, driven by operational efficiencies and cost optimisation.
• Base Case: -1% of revenue, consistent with historical trends.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 0%, reflecting higher operating and labour costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
An approximately -0-percentage-point increase in the FCF margin to -1%, results in an additional -180 milion USD in FCF, highlighting the critical role of operational efficiency. Conversely, a decrease to -0% reduces FCF by 394 milion USD, illustrating the significant impact of profitability on cash flow generation.
Projected FCF Margin Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
• Base Case: -1% of revenue, consistent with historical trends.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 0%, reflecting higher operating and labour costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
| FCF Margin (%) | Revenue TTM | FCF TTM | Difference | |
| Optimistic | -1% | 57,399 | -574 | -180 |
| Base Case | -1% | 57,399 | -394 | – |
| Pessimistic | 0% | 57,399 | 0 | 394 |
Projected FCF Margin Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
🟡 Operating Costs Scenarios
• Optimistic Scenario: 67%, reflecting enhanced efficiency and lower costs.
• Base Case: 69% of revenue, aligned with historical trends and cost structures.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 71%, driven by rising wages and increased energy costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Reducing operational costs to 67% of revenue leads to a 1,264 milion USD increase in operating profit, emphasising the significance of cost control in enhancing margins. Increasing costs to 71% of revenue results in a 1,032 milion USD decline in operating profit, highlighting the sensitivity of profitability to rising expenses.
Projected Operating Costs Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
• Base Case: 69% of revenue, aligned with historical trends and cost structures.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 71%, driven by rising wages and increased energy costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
| Operating Costs (%) | Revenue TTM | Operating Profit | Difference | |
| Optimistic | 67% | 57,399 | 18,942 | 1,264 |
| Base Case | 69% | 57,399 | 17,678 | – |
| Pessimistic | 71% | 57,399 | 16,646 | -1,032 |
Projected Operating Costs Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
🟡 Revenue Growth Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 10% annually, driven by:
• Robust macroeconomic conditions.
• Strong industry growth with minimal disruptions.
• Favorable regulatory and competitive environment. Base Case: Projected to grow by 8% annually, driven by: • Stable macroeconomic conditions.
• Balanced market growth with manageable risks.
• Limited external disruptions from regulation or supply chains. Pessimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 6% annually, driven by: • Global economic uncertainty and potential downturn.
• Increased competition and rising operational costs.
• Regulatory and supply chain challenges impacting business operations.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD, TTM)
The projected revenue for the next twelve months varies depending on the scenario. Under the optimistic scenario, revenue is expected to increase by 10% to 62,908 million USD, reflecting strong market growth and operational efficiency. In the base case scenario, revenue is forecasted to grow by 8% to 61,990 million USD, assuming stable economic conditions and consistent business expansion. However, under the pessimistic scenario, revenue is projected to increase by 6% to 61,072 million USD, reflecting potential economic slowdowns or adverse market conditions.
Projected Revenues Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
The variation between projected scenarios highlights the Oracle's ability to perform across a range of market conditions. The growth even in the pessimistic case reflects a degree of resilience and suggests a strong underlying business model. This outlook supports confidence in management’s ability to navigate uncertainty while sustaining forward momentum. Scenario analysis enhances strategic visibility, helping stakeholders understand the potential bandwidth of future results.
• Strong industry growth with minimal disruptions.
• Favorable regulatory and competitive environment. Base Case: Projected to grow by 8% annually, driven by: • Stable macroeconomic conditions.
• Balanced market growth with manageable risks.
• Limited external disruptions from regulation or supply chains. Pessimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 6% annually, driven by: • Global economic uncertainty and potential downturn.
• Increased competition and rising operational costs.
• Regulatory and supply chain challenges impacting business operations.
| Revenue | Net Income | Revenue (Next) | Net Income (Next) | |
| Optimistic | 57,399 | 12,443 | 62,908 | 13,637 |
| Base Case | 57,399 | 12,443 | 61,990 | 13,438 |
| Pessimistic | 57,399 | 12,443 | 61,072 | 13,239 |
Projected Revenues Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
The variation between projected scenarios highlights the Oracle's ability to perform across a range of market conditions. The growth even in the pessimistic case reflects a degree of resilience and suggests a strong underlying business model. This outlook supports confidence in management’s ability to navigate uncertainty while sustaining forward momentum. Scenario analysis enhances strategic visibility, helping stakeholders understand the potential bandwidth of future results.
🟡 Net Income Growth Scenarios
The projected net income for the next twelve months varies depending on the scenario. Under the optimistic scenario, net income is expected to increase by 10% to 13,637 million USD, reflecting improved profitability and strong financial performance. In the base case scenario, net income is forecasted to grow by 8% to 13,438 million USD, assuming stable market conditions and effective cost management. However, under the pessimistic scenario, net income is projected to increase by 6% to 13,239 million USD, reflecting potential challenges such as higher operational costs or slowing revenue growth.
Projected Net Income Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
The projected resilience in net income across all scenarios suggests a stable underlying profitability profile. Even under adverse assumptions, the Oracle is expected to maintain earnings growth, indicating effective cost controls and strong core operations. This consistency can help support valuation multiples and reduce perceived investment risk. Scenario modeling enhances transparency and strengthens the credibility of financial forecasting in the eyes of stakeholders.
Projected Net Income Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
The projected resilience in net income across all scenarios suggests a stable underlying profitability profile. Even under adverse assumptions, the Oracle is expected to maintain earnings growth, indicating effective cost controls and strong core operations. This consistency can help support valuation multiples and reduce perceived investment risk. Scenario modeling enhances transparency and strengthens the credibility of financial forecasting in the eyes of stakeholders.
🟡 Financial Performance Overview
Oracle demonstrated stronger financial performance in the most recent period, reflecting strong revenue growth, operational efficiency, and profitability improvements revenue increased by 11.3% year-over-year, reaching 15,903 million USD, supported by strong sales performance across all key markets. At the same time, EBITDA grew by 9.1% year-over-year, totaling 6,805 million USD, driven by cost optimization and higher-margin business segments.
Revenue & Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Notably, net income surged by 9.0% year-over-year, reaching 3,427 million USD, improving Oracle's net margin, which expanded to 21.5%. This growth reflects effective expense control and revenue expansion, strengthening the company’s bottom-line performance.
Revenue & Net Income
Notably, net income surged by 9.0% year-over-year, reaching 3,427 million USD, improving Oracle's net margin, which expanded to 21.5%. This growth reflects effective expense control and revenue expansion, strengthening the company’s bottom-line performance.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (YoY)
Valuation & Market Position
Oracle’s valuation metrics indicate a strengthened financial standing. The EV to EBITDA (TTM) ratio currently stands at 25.56, decreasing from 25.80, reflecting a dual shift – rising operational performance and declining market valuation. This suggests a high enterprise valuation relative to earnings..
EV to EBITDA Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (TTM)
The EV to EBITDA trendline illustrates Oracle’s valuation trajectory, with an increasing enterprise value supported by improving earnings, suggesting healthy investor confidence.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (TTM)
Meanwhile, the P/E (Price to Earnings) ratio has increased to 38.0, down from 36.3 a year ago, which may indicate heightened investor expectations for future profitability. The P/S (Price to Sales) ratio has risen to 8.25, compared to 7.41 a year ago, reinforcing Oracle’s higher market capitalization relative to revenue.
| Change (%) | |
| Revenue Growth | 11.3% |
| EBITDA Growth | 9.1% |
| Net Income Growth | 9.0% |
| Net Margin | 21.6% |
| EPS | 17.1% |
EV to EBITDA Ratio
The EV to EBITDA trendline illustrates Oracle’s valuation trajectory, with an increasing enterprise value supported by improving earnings, suggesting healthy investor confidence.
| Ratio (TTM) | |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.56 |
| P/E Ratio | 48.51 |
| P/S Ratio | 8.25 |
Cash Flow & Liquidity ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Oracle is experiencing a weakened cash flow position, reflecting potential liquidity challenges. The decline in cash flow may indicate increased operational costs or reduced cash inflows, requiring closer financial monitoring and strategic adjustments.
• Free Cash Flow (FCF) – totaled -2,923 million USD, indicating a decline in available cash resources, requiring enhanced financial oversight.
• Net Operating Cash Flow – declined by 72.6% year-over-year, reaching 208 million USD, suggesting weaker cash inflows from operating activities.
• Long-term debt – increased by 1.1%, which may lead to higher financial leverage and increased interest obligations.
Oracle’s ability to generate declining cash flow while increasing debt reinforces its financial flexibility, though ongoing financial management is essential to sustain long-term growth and strategic investments.
Free Cash Flow
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Oracle Financial Reports (million USD)
Oracle's financial performance in the most recent quarter shows that EBITDA reached 6,805 million USD, reflecting improved operational efficiency and earnings growth. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 59.3%, pointing to reduced return on shareholder capital and weaker financial performance. The long-term debt-to-equity ratio stands at 406.8%, indicating a more resilient balance sheet and lower financial risk. The quick ratio is 0.75, highlighting tightened liquidity conditions and the need for cautious cash management. The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 25.56x, reflecting a balanced or attractive valuation level relative to earnings. Overall, Oracle’s financial health remains strong, with consistent revenue expansion, rising operational costs, and tightened liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio is declining, while Oracle’s long-term prospects remain positive.
Free Cash Flow
Oracle's financial performance in the most recent quarter shows that EBITDA reached 6,805 million USD, reflecting improved operational efficiency and earnings growth. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 59.3%, pointing to reduced return on shareholder capital and weaker financial performance. The long-term debt-to-equity ratio stands at 406.8%, indicating a more resilient balance sheet and lower financial risk. The quick ratio is 0.75, highlighting tightened liquidity conditions and the need for cautious cash management. The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 25.56x, reflecting a balanced or attractive valuation level relative to earnings. Overall, Oracle’s financial health remains strong, with consistent revenue expansion, rising operational costs, and tightened liquidity conditions. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio is declining, while Oracle’s long-term prospects remain positive.
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