Tesla Inc.
[TSLA]
NASDAQ
MVPro™ Score: 45/100
Last Earnings: 28 Jan 2026
[TSLA]
NASDAQ
MVPro™ Score: 45/100
Last Earnings: 28 Jan 2026
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| Capitalization (mln USD) | 1,404,471 |
| Revenue (mln USD) | 28,095 |
| EBITDA (mln USD) | 3,660 |
| Net Income (mln USD) | 1,373 |
| Net Margin | 4.89% |
| EPS Ratio (TTM, USD) | 1.55 |
| P/E Ratio (TTM) | 280.5 |
| P/S Ratio (TTM) | 15.18 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.66 |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | 110.76 |
| CAPEX (Q/Q) | -6.10% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
Revenue, EBITDA & Net Income
Company Overview
Tesla, Inc. is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company founded in 2003 by a group of engineers, including Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, with Elon Musk later becoming its most prominent figure and current CEO. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, Tesla has rapidly grown from a niche car manufacturer into a global leader in sustainable energy solutions.
Tesla designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles such as the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, along with energy products including solar panels, solar roofs, and the Powerwall battery system. It also develops full self-driving (FSD) software and operates a global network of Superchargers. Tesla’s mission is “to accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy,” reflecting its commitment to reducing dependence on fossil fuels.
Operating in North America, Europe, Asia, and other major markets, Tesla maintains a growing international presence supported by Gigafactories around the world. The company places strong emphasis on ESG principles, aiming for net-zero emissions and prioritising ethical sourcing of materials used in its battery production. Tesla regularly publishes impact reports to provide transparency in areas such as environmental performance, diversity, and labour practices. Its rapid growth, bold strategy, and focus on sustainability position it as one of the most influential players.
🔴 P/E (Price to Earnings, TTM)
Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the most recent quarter is 290.0, compared to 174.5 in the previous quarter, with a longer-term trend value of 331.2. This increase in the P/E ratio suggests a higher valuation of the company by investors, potentially driven by strong growth expectations, earnings stability, or increased market confidence.
P/E Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (TTM)
P/E Ratio
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🟡 EPS (Earnings Per Share, TTM)
Tesla's earnings per share (EPS) for the most recent quarter is 1.55 USD (-13.79%), compared to 1.80 USD in the previous quarter, with a longer-term trend value of 1.82 USD. This quarterly decline in EPS may indicate increased operational costs, lower revenue growth, or market pressures.
EPS
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (TTM, USD)
EPS
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🔴 P/B (Price to Book)
Price-to-book (P/B) ratio for the most recent quarter stands at 18.16 (+38.71%), compared to 13.09 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 17.49. The rise in the P/B ratio suggests that investors are valuing the company’s assets at a higher multiple, potentially due to improved financial performance, asset appreciation, or heightened market optimism.
P/B Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
P/B Ratio
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🟢 EBIT
EBIT for Tesla in the most recent quarter is 1,862 million USD, compared to 923 million USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 1,915 million USD. This increase reflects improved operational performance and higher profitability, aligning with the long-term growth trajectory.
EBIT
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
EBIT
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🟡 Risk Assessment
The following risk assessment outlines the key risk factors associated with Tesla, Inc., a global leader in electric vehicles and sustainable energy solutions.
Market Risk
Tesla operates in a highly competitive automotive and energy market, where consumer demand can be influenced by economic conditions, fuel prices, and public sentiment towards sustainability. Competitors are rapidly expanding their electric vehicle offerings, which may erode Tesla’s market share. Additionally, demand for premium-priced EVs may decline in the face of global economic uncertainty or reduced government incentives.
Financial Risk
Although Tesla has achieved strong revenue growth, its profitability remains sensitive to raw material costs, particularly lithium, nickel, and cobalt used in battery production. Currency fluctuations and interest rate changes may affect international earnings and borrowing costs. The company’s substantial investment in infrastructure and R&D also introduces exposure to capital allocation risks.
Operational Risk
Tesla relies on complex global supply chains and Gigafactory operations, which are vulnerable to delays, geopolitical tensions, and disruptions caused by natural disasters or pandemics. Scaling production while maintaining quality and innovation presents ongoing challenges. The company’s dependence on founder-CEO Elon Musk adds an element of key person risk.
Regulatory Risk
Tesla faces varying environmental, safety, and data privacy regulations across different jurisdictions, which can affect manufacturing processes and product deployment. Government policies on EV subsidies, carbon credits, and trade tariffs significantly influence Tesla’s pricing strategy and margins.
Overall Risk Assessment
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🟡 Piotroski F-Score Analysis
Piotroski F-Score analysis is a robust methodology designed to assess the financial strength and operational efficiency of companies, providing valuable insights for investment decision-making.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
| Previous TTM | Current TTM | Score | |
| Net Income | 13,002 | 5,007 | 1 |
| ROA | 11.60% | 3.93% | 1 |
| Net Operating Cash Flow | 2,246 | 609 | 1 |
| OCF > Net Income | 1,477 | 10,741 | 1 |
| Long-Term Debt | 16,312 | 21,218 | 0 |
| Current Ratio | 1.84 | 2.07 | 1 |
| New Shares Issued (mln) | 3,497 | 3,224 | 1 |
| Gross Margin | 18.23% | 17.01% | 0 |
| Total Asset Turnover Ratio | 0.87 | 0.75 | 0 |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6/9 |
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🟢 Altman Z-Score Analysis
Altman Z-Score is a widely recognised financial metric used to evaluate the risk of bankruptcy for companies. It is particularly relevant for assessing the creditworthiness of manufacturing and industrial companies but has also been adapted for other industries.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
| Q3 25 | |||
| Altman Z-Score (TTM) | 20.08 | ||
| 0 | Distress | 1.8 | Grey | 2.99 | Safe | 4 |
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
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🟡 Key Assets Components
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
As of last quarter the company reported total assets of 133,735 million USD, representing an increase of 12% compared to the previous year the same quarter 119,852 million USD. The largest contributor to this change in current assets was Receivables, which grew by 42% to 4,703 million USD from 3,313 million USD.
Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q3 24 | Q3 25 | Change (%) | |
| Cash & Short-Term Inv | 33,648 | 41,647 | 23.77% |
| Inventory | 14,530 | 12,276 | -15.51% |
| Receivables | 3,313 | 4,703 | 41.96% |
| Total Current Assets | 56,379 | 64,653 | 14.68% |
| Property and Equipment | 51,403 | 54,882 | 6.77% |
| Goodwill, Intangibles | 411 | 388 | -5.60% |
| Other Long-Term Assets | 4,530 | 5,860 | 29.36% |
| Total Assets | 119,852 | 133,735 | 11.58% |
Assets
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🔴 Key Liabilities & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Total current liabilities increased by 2%, indicating a potential growth in operational activities. This change may affect the company's ability to manage its working capital efficiently. Long-term debt increased by 4%, suggesting a rise in long-term obligations. This shift could have implications for the Tesla's financing costs and overall debt strategy.
Liabilities & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q3 24 | Q3 25 | Change (%) | |
| Accounts Payable | 14,654 | 12,819 | -12.52% |
| Accrued Expenses, Other | 3,937 | 4,556 | 15.72% |
| Total Current Liabilities | 30,577 | 31,290 | 2.33% |
| Long-term Lease | 5,393 | 6,327 | 17.32% |
| Long-term Debt | 5,375 | 5,609 | 4.35% |
| Total Liabilities | 49,142 | 53,019 | 7.89% |
| Shareholders’ Equity | 69,931 | 79,970 | 14.36% |
Liabilities & Equity
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🔴 Income Statement Analysis
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
As of Q3 25, Tesla reported a revenue of 28,095 million USD, marking an increase of 12% compared to the previous year to 25,182 million USD. Operating expenses rose to 3,192 million USD, increasing by 23% year-on-year from 2,596 million USD.
Revenue & Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q3 24 | Q3 25 | Change (%) | |
| Revenue | 25,182 | 28,095 | 11.57% |
| Operating Expenses | 2,596 | 3,192 | 22.96% |
| Operating Income | 2,717 | 1,862 | -31.47% |
| Net Income | 2,167 | 1,373 | -36.64% |
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Revenue & Net Income
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🟡 Cash Flow Analysis
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
The company’s cash flow performance over the year demonstrates varied trends across key categories. Net operating cash flows decreased by 0.3% from 6,255 million USD to 6,238 million USD, reflecting lower cash generation from core business activities. Net investing cash flows decreased by 51.5% from -2,875 million USD to -4,355 million USD, indicating higher expenditure on investments, potentially related to strategic initiatives.
Operating Cash Flow
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
| Q3 24 | Q3 25 | Change (%) | |
| Net Operating Cash Flows | 6,255 | 6,238 | -0.27% |
| Net Investing Cash Flows | -2,875 | -4,355 | -51.48% |
| Net Financing Cash Flows | 132 | 983 | 644.70% |
| Net Cash Flow, Equivalents | 3,512 | 2,866 | -18.39% |
Operating Cash Flow
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🟢 EBITDA
Tesla's EBITDA for the most recent quarter is 3,660 milion USD (+19.26%), compared to 3,069 milion USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 4,095 milion USD. This increase in EBITDA suggests improved operational efficiency and revenue growth, indicating stronger core business performance.
EBITDA
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
EBITDA
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🟢 Net Income
Net income for the most recent quarter is 1,373 milion USD (+17.15%), compared to 1,172 milion USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 2,674 milion USD. This increase in net income reflects improved profitability, potentially driven by higher revenue growth, enhanced cost efficiency, or favorable market conditions.
Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Net Income
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🟡 ROE (Return on Equity, %) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Tesla's return on equity (ROE) for the most recent quarter is 6.26%, compared to 7.50% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 6.50%. This decline in ROE may indicate reduced profitability, increased equity base, or other financial challenges affecting the company's return on investment.
ROE Indicator
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
ROE Indicator
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🟡 ROA (Return on Assets, %)
Return on assets (ROA) for the most recent quarter is 3.74%, compared to 4.51% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 3.99%. This decline in ROA may indicate lower profitability, increased asset base, or operational inefficiencies affecting the company's ability to generate returns.
ROA Indicator
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
ROA Indicator
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🟢 Operating Margin (%) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Tesla's operating margin for the most recent quarter is 6.63%, compared to 4.10% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 5.97%. This increase in operating margin reflects improved cost efficiency, higher revenue retention, or a stronger pricing strategy. The rise suggests that Tesla is effectively managing its operational expenses while maintaining revenue growth.
Operating Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
Operating Margin
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🟡 Net Margin (%) ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Net margin for the most recent quarter is 4.89%, compared to 5.21% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 8.56%. This decline in net margin may indicate rising operational costs, pricing pressures, or changes in revenue mix that are affecting overall profitability. A lower net margin suggests that expenses have grown at a faster rate than revenue, potentially requiring adjustments in cost management or pricing strategy.
Net Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
Net Margin
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🟢 Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
The current long-term debt is 5,609 million USD, and EBITDA is 3,660 million USD. The long-term debt to EBITDA ratio for the most recent quarter is 153%, compared to 163% in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 131%. This decline in the long-term debt to EBITDA ratio suggests an improvement in the company's ability to manage and service its long-term debt obligations. The lower ratio indicates stronger financial flexibility, potentially driven by higher earnings generation or reduced leverage.
Long-Term Debt to EBITDA Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
The current level remains within the safe range, reflecting a strong balance sheet and manageable debt levels. A declining trend in this ratio is typically a positive sign for investors, as it implies reduced financial risk and an improved capacity to meet long-term liabilities.
Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to EBITDA Ratio
The current level remains within the safe range, reflecting a strong balance sheet and manageable debt levels. A declining trend in this ratio is typically a positive sign for investors, as it implies reduced financial risk and an improved capacity to meet long-term liabilities.
Long-Term Debt & EBITDA
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🟢 Long-Term Debt & Assets
The current long-term debt is 5,609 million USD, and total assets are 133,735 million USD, resulting in a debt ratio of 4.19%. This increase in the long-term debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a higher dependency on long-term debt or a decrease in total assets, potentially leading to increased financial risk. A rising ratio suggests that Tesla may be taking on additional liabilities or experiencing challenges in maintaining asset growth.
Long-Term Debt to Assets Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
The debt-to-assets ratio remains in the low-risk range <40%, which is a sign of a strong financial position. Investors and analysts will closely monitor future financial performance to determine whether this increase reflects temporary fluctuations or a more significant shift in the company's capital structure.
Long-Term Debt & Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to Assets Ratio
The debt-to-assets ratio remains in the low-risk range <40%, which is a sign of a strong financial position. Investors and analysts will closely monitor future financial performance to determine whether this increase reflects temporary fluctuations or a more significant shift in the company's capital structure.
Long-Term Debt & Assets
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🟢 Long-Term Debt & Equity ★ Buffett's Key Metric
The current long-term debt is 5,609 million USD, while Total Equity stands at 79,970 million USD, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 7.01%. This increase in the long-term debt-to-equity ratio may indicate a greater reliance on leverage, which could increase financial risk. A rising ratio suggests that Tesla may be taking on additional debt obligations or experiencing challenges in equity growth, which could impact long-term financial stability.
Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
The debt-to-equity ratio remains within the optimal range <150%, suggesting a well-balanced capital structure. Investors and analysts will closely monitor upcoming financial reports to determine whether this increase reflects temporary fluctuations or a more significant shift in financial strategy.
Long-Term Debt & Equity
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio
The debt-to-equity ratio remains within the optimal range <150%, suggesting a well-balanced capital structure. Investors and analysts will closely monitor upcoming financial reports to determine whether this increase reflects temporary fluctuations or a more significant shift in financial strategy.
Long-Term Debt & Equity
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🟢 Equity to Assets
The current equity is 79,970 million USD, while total assets stand at 133,735 million USD, resulting in an equity-to-assets ratio of 59.80%. This decline in the equity-to-assets ratio may signal increased financial leverage or a reduction in equity levels. A falling ratio suggests that Tesla may be increasing its reliance on debt financing or facing equity dilution, which could affect long-term financial resilience.
Equity to Assets Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (%)
The equity-to-assets ratio remains in the healthy above the 40%, demonstrating a well-balanced financial structure. Investors and analysts will closely monitor future capital allocation strategies to determine whether this decrease is a short-term fluctuation or a longer-term structural change.
Equity & Assets
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Equity to Assets Ratio
The equity-to-assets ratio remains in the healthy above the 40%, demonstrating a well-balanced financial structure. Investors and analysts will closely monitor future capital allocation strategies to determine whether this decrease is a short-term fluctuation or a longer-term structural change.
Equity & Assets
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🟡 Quick Ratio
The quick ratio for Tesla is 1.67, compared to 1.56 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 1.77. This increase in the quick ratio suggests improved short-term liquidity, indicating that the company has a stronger ability to cover its immediate liabilities with liquid assets. The current level is above 1.0, which is considered financially healthy, demonstrating that the company maintains a solid liquidity position.
Quick Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
Quick Ratio
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🟢 Current Ratio
The current ratio for Tesla is 2.07, compared to 2.04 in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 2.15. This increase in the current ratio suggests improved liquidity, indicating that the company has a stronger ability to cover its short-term liabilities with current assets. The ratio is above 2.0, reflecting a high level of liquidity. While this suggests financial stability, it may also indicate inefficient capital allocation that could be optimized for higher returns.
Current Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
Current Ratio
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🟢 Net Working Capital
The net working capital (NWC) for Tesla in the most recent quarter is 33,363 million USD, compared to 31,125 million USD in the previous quarter, with a long-term trend value of 38,303 million USD.
Net Working Capital
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Net Working Capital
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🟢 Inventory Turnover Ratio
The inventory turnover ratio for Tesla in the most recent quarter is 6.47, compared to 6.23 in the previous quarter. This increase in inventory turnover indicates that Tesla is selling goods more rapidly, suggesting strong demand, efficient inventory management, and optimized supply chain processes. The turnover ratio is above the 6.0, reflecting high inventory efficiency and fast-moving stock, which minimizes storage costs and obsolescence risks.
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
Inventory Turnover Ratio
🔴 Asset Turnover Ratio
The assets turnover ratio for Tesla in the most recent quarter is 0.72, compared to 0.72 in the previous quarter. This decline in the assets turnover ratio may suggest lower revenue generation, excess assets, or inefficiencies in assets utilization. A decreasing trend could indicate weaker sales growth or an overinvestment in fixed assets. The ratio has fallen below the 1.0, suggesting that Tesla may have a high level of assets relative to revenue generation. This could indicate underutilized resources or the need for improved asset efficiency.
Assets Turnover Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
Assets Turnover Ratio
🔴 Book Value / Share
The book value per share (BVPS) is a key valuation metric that represents the equity value per outstanding share. Calculated by dividing total book value by the number of shares, it helps assess whether a stock trades above or below its book value.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (USD)
Book Value per Share Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (USD, generated on 3 December 2025)
| Q3 24 | Q3 25 | Change (%) | |
| Book Value / Share | 20 | 24.8 | 24.00 % |
Book Value per Share Valuation
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🔴 Graham Method
The intrinsic value of Tesla’s stock is calculated using Benjamin Graham’s formula, which takes into account the current earnings per share (EPS) and an assumed growth rate (g), providing a simplified yet insightful perspective on a company’s value.
Benjamin Graham Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (USD, generated on 3 December 2025)
Benjamin Graham Valuation
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🔴 Discounted Cash Flow ★ Buffett's Key Metric
The discounted cash flow (DCF) method is used to estimate Tesla’s intrinsic value by projecting future cash flows and discounting them to their present value. This approach considers the company’s potential to generate cash flows in the future, taking into account the time value of money and associated risks.
The terminal value represents the value of Tesla’s cash flows beyond the five-year forecast horizon. It is calculated using the Gordon Growth Model, assuming a perpetual growth rate of 6.0% and WACC of 8.3%. The calculated terminal value is 675,141 million USD.
Total Intrinsic Value Calculations
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Assuming 3,224 million shares outstanding, the intrinsic value per share is approximately 152.93 USD. The current market price of Tesla’s stock is 435.63 USD. Discounted cash flow valuation indicates that the stock is 184.9% overvalued, trading above its intrinsic value.
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (USD, generated on 3 December 2025)
| Value | |
| Present Value of FCFs | 39,871 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | 453,161 |
| Total Intrinsic Value | 493,032 |
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
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🟢 Assets Correlation
The Pearson correlation analysis for Tesla examines the relationship between share price and key financial indicators. Gross profit has a correlation of 0.90, which indicates a strong relationship, meaning profitability is a key driver of stock price movements. Operating income is correlated at 0.79, highlighting a strong relationship between operating profitability and market valuation.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports
Current liabilities are correlated at 0.88, implying that short-term obligations are closely monitored by investors, influencing stock valuation. Total assets have a correlation of 0.88, confirming a strong relationship between asset growth and market performance.
Key Financial Indicators Growth Dynamics
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports, Index=100 on Q1 11
| Pearson Correlation | |
| Share Price | 1 |
| Gross Profit | 0.9 |
| Operating Income | 0.79 |
| Current Liabilities | 0.88 |
| Total Assets | 0.88 |
Key Financial Indicators Growth Dynamics
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🟡 FCF Margin Scenarios
• Optimistic Scenario: 9%, driven by operational efficiencies and cost optimisation.
• Base Case: 7% of revenue, consistent with historical trends.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 5%, reflecting higher operating and labour costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
An approximately 2-percentage-point increase in the FCF margin to 9%, results in an additional 1,773 milion USD in FCF, highlighting the critical role of operational efficiency. Conversely, a decrease to 5% reduces FCF by 2,052 milion USD, illustrating the significant impact of profitability on cash flow generation.
Projected FCF Margin Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
• Base Case: 7% of revenue, consistent with historical trends.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 5%, reflecting higher operating and labour costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
| FCF Margin (%) | Revenue TTM | FCF TTM | Difference | |
| Optimistic | 9% | 95,633 | 8,607 | 1,773 |
| Base Case | 7% | 95,633 | 6,834 | – |
| Pessimistic | 5% | 95,633 | 4,782 | -2,052 |
Projected FCF Margin Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
🟡 Operating Costs Scenarios
• Optimistic Scenario: 92%, reflecting enhanced efficiency and lower costs.
• Base Case: 95% of revenue, aligned with historical trends and cost structures.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 98%, driven by rising wages and increased energy costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Reducing operational costs to 92% of revenue leads to a 2,790 milion USD increase in operating profit, emphasising the significance of cost control in enhancing margins. Increasing costs to 98% of revenue results in a 2,948 milion USD decline in operating profit, highlighting the sensitivity of profitability to rising expenses.
Projected Operating Costs Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
• Base Case: 95% of revenue, aligned with historical trends and cost structures.
• Pessimistic Scenario: 98%, driven by rising wages and increased energy costs. Impact of Changes in FCF Margin
| Operating Costs (%) | Revenue TTM | Operating Profit | Difference | |
| Optimistic | 92% | 95,633 | 7,651 | 2,790 |
| Base Case | 95% | 95,633 | 4,861 | – |
| Pessimistic | 98% | 95,633 | 1,913 | -2,948 |
Projected Operating Costs Scenarios Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
🟡 Revenue Growth Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 33% annually, driven by:
• Robust macroeconomic conditions.
• Strong industry growth with minimal disruptions.
• Favorable regulatory and competitive environment. Base Case: Projected to grow by 28% annually, driven by: • Stable macroeconomic conditions.
• Balanced market growth with manageable risks.
• Limited external disruptions from regulation or supply chains. Pessimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 22% annually, driven by: • Global economic uncertainty and potential downturn.
• Increased competition and rising operational costs.
• Regulatory and supply chain challenges impacting business operations.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD, TTM)
The projected revenue for the next twelve months varies depending on the scenario. Under the optimistic scenario, revenue is expected to increase by 33% to 127,406 million USD, reflecting strong market growth and operational efficiency. In the base case scenario, revenue is forecasted to grow by 28% to 122,111 million USD, assuming stable economic conditions and consistent business expansion. However, under the pessimistic scenario, revenue is projected to decline by 22% to 116,815 million USD, reflecting potential economic slowdowns or adverse market conditions.
Projected Revenues Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
The variation between projected scenarios highlights the Tesla's sensitivity to changing economic conditions. A decline in the pessimistic case underscores potential exposure to downside risks, such as demand contraction or margin pressure. This range of outcomes emphasizes the importance of maintaining operational agility and cost control to protect profitability. Scenario analysis remains essential for strategic planning, enabling the company to align resources with market realities.
• Strong industry growth with minimal disruptions.
• Favorable regulatory and competitive environment. Base Case: Projected to grow by 28% annually, driven by: • Stable macroeconomic conditions.
• Balanced market growth with manageable risks.
• Limited external disruptions from regulation or supply chains. Pessimistic Scenario: Projected to grow by 22% annually, driven by: • Global economic uncertainty and potential downturn.
• Increased competition and rising operational costs.
• Regulatory and supply chain challenges impacting business operations.
| Revenue | Net Income | Revenue (Next) | Net Income (Next) | |
| Optimistic | 95,633 | 5,007 | 127,406 | 6,671 |
| Base Case | 95,633 | 5,007 | 122,111 | 6,393 |
| Pessimistic | 95,633 | 5,007 | 116,815 | 6,116 |
Projected Revenues Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
The variation between projected scenarios highlights the Tesla's sensitivity to changing economic conditions. A decline in the pessimistic case underscores potential exposure to downside risks, such as demand contraction or margin pressure. This range of outcomes emphasizes the importance of maintaining operational agility and cost control to protect profitability. Scenario analysis remains essential for strategic planning, enabling the company to align resources with market realities.
🟡 Net Income Growth Scenarios
The projected net income for the next twelve months varies depending on the scenario. Under the optimistic scenario, net income is expected to increase by 33% to 6,671 million USD, reflecting improved profitability and strong financial performance. In the base case scenario, net income is forecasted to grow by 28% to 6,393 million USD, assuming stable market conditions and effective cost management. However, under the pessimistic scenario, net income is projected to increase by 22% to 6,116 million USD, reflecting potential challenges such as higher operational costs or slowing revenue growth.
Projected Net Income Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
The projected resilience in net income across all scenarios suggests a stable underlying profitability profile. Even under adverse assumptions, the Tesla is expected to maintain earnings growth, indicating effective cost controls and strong core operations. This consistency can help support valuation multiples and reduce perceived investment risk. Scenario modeling enhances transparency and strengthens the credibility of financial forecasting in the eyes of stakeholders.
Projected Net Income Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
The projected resilience in net income across all scenarios suggests a stable underlying profitability profile. Even under adverse assumptions, the Tesla is expected to maintain earnings growth, indicating effective cost controls and strong core operations. This consistency can help support valuation multiples and reduce perceived investment risk. Scenario modeling enhances transparency and strengthens the credibility of financial forecasting in the eyes of stakeholders.
🟡 Financial Performance Overview
Tesla demonstrated stronger financial performance in the most recent period, reflecting strong revenue growth, operational efficiency, and profitability improvements revenue increased by 11.6% year-over-year, reaching 28,095 million USD, supported by strong sales performance across all key markets. At the same time, EBITDA declined by 10.0% year-over-year, totaling 3,660 million USD, driven by cost optimization and higher-margin business segments.
Revenue & Net Income
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Notably, net income declined by 36.6% year-over-year, reaching 1,373 million USD, improving Tesla's net margin, which expanded to 4.89%. This growth reflects effective expense control and revenue expansion, strengthening the company’s bottom-line performance.
Revenue & Net Income
Notably, net income declined by 36.6% year-over-year, reaching 1,373 million USD, improving Tesla's net margin, which expanded to 4.89%. This growth reflects effective expense control and revenue expansion, strengthening the company’s bottom-line performance.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (YoY)
Valuation & Market Position
Tesla’s valuation metrics indicate a weakened financial standing. The EV to EBITDA (TTM) ratio currently stands at 110.76, increasing from 75.32, reflecting mixed valuation dynamics. This suggests a high enterprise valuation relative to earnings.
EV to EBITDA Ratio
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (TTM)
The EV to EBITDA trendline illustrates Tesla’s valuation trajectory, with an increasing enterprise value despite declining earnings, potentially indicating overvaluation or speculative sentiment.
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (TTM)
Meanwhile, the P/E (Price to Earnings) ratio has increased to 290.0, down from 181.6 a year ago, which may indicate heightened investor expectations for future profitability. The P/S (Price to Sales) ratio has risen to 15.18, compared to 13.26 a year ago, reinforcing Tesla’s higher market capitalization relative to revenue.
| Change (%) | |
| Revenue Growth | 11.6% |
| EBITDA Growth | -10.0% |
| Net Income Growth | -36.6% |
| Net Margin | 4.9% |
| EPS | -58.2% |
EV to EBITDA Ratio
The EV to EBITDA trendline illustrates Tesla’s valuation trajectory, with an increasing enterprise value despite declining earnings, potentially indicating overvaluation or speculative sentiment.
| Ratio (TTM) | |
| EV/EBITDA | 110.76 |
| P/E Ratio | 280.5 |
| P/S Ratio | 15.18 |
Cash Flow & Liquidity ★ Buffett's Key Metric
Tesla maintains a strengthened cash flow position, highlighting improved liquidity and prudent financial management. The increase in cash flow suggests enhanced operational efficiency and a stronger ability to meet financial obligations.
• Free Cash Flow (FCF) – totaled 3,990 million USD, marking an improvement in liquidity.
• Net Operating Cash Flow – declined by 72.9% year-over-year, reaching 609 million USD, suggesting weaker cash inflows from operating activities.
• Long-term debt – increased by 30.1%, which may lead to higher financial leverage and increased interest obligations.
Tesla’s ability to generate declining cash flow while increasing debt reinforces its financial flexibility, though ongoing financial management is essential to sustain long-term growth and strategic investments.
Free Cash Flow
Source: MarketVectors.Pro, Tesla Financial Reports (million USD)
Tesla's financial performance in the most recent quarter shows that EBITDA reached 3,660 million USD, reflecting improved operational efficiency and earnings growth. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 6.26%, pointing to reduced return on shareholder capital and weaker financial performance. The long-term debt-to-equity ratio stands at 7.01%, which may reflect rising leverage and a shift toward debt-based financing. The quick ratio is 1.67, showing improved liquidity and better short-term risk coverage. The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 110.76x, suggesting that the stock may be trading at a premium, potentially pricing in high growth expectations. Overall, Tesla’s financial health remains strong, with consistent revenue expansion, rising operational costs, and strong liquidity. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio is increasing, while Tesla’s long-term prospects remain positive.
Free Cash Flow
Tesla's financial performance in the most recent quarter shows that EBITDA reached 3,660 million USD, reflecting improved operational efficiency and earnings growth. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 6.26%, pointing to reduced return on shareholder capital and weaker financial performance. The long-term debt-to-equity ratio stands at 7.01%, which may reflect rising leverage and a shift toward debt-based financing. The quick ratio is 1.67, showing improved liquidity and better short-term risk coverage. The EV/EBITDA ratio is currently 110.76x, suggesting that the stock may be trading at a premium, potentially pricing in high growth expectations. Overall, Tesla’s financial health remains strong, with consistent revenue expansion, rising operational costs, and strong liquidity. Meanwhile, the P/E ratio is increasing, while Tesla’s long-term prospects remain positive.
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